Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Minerva |
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Muleño |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.05 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
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2.22 |
3.1 |
3.27 |
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2.28 |
3.43 |
2.85 |
 Watch |
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2.15 |
2.9 |
3.25 |
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2.16 |
3 |
3.28 |
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2.2 |
3 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.77) |
3.09 ↓
(3.45) |
3.19 ↓
(4.18) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Minerva
41.9% | Draw
29.5% | Muleño
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minerva's form might have worsened.Muleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muleño's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minerva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muleño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Minerva - Muleño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).Minerva is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).Muleño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Muleño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Minerva is considered a favorite.We predict that Minerva will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minerva won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Minerva won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Minerva | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 | | | 05.10.25 | Muleño - Minerva | 0:1 | | 19.01.25 | Minerva - Muleño | 1:1 | | 07.09.24 | Muleño - Minerva | 1:0 | | 13.06.21 | Muleño - Minerva | 1:1 | | 09.05.21 | Minerva - Muleño | 2:1 |
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