Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Minerva		Cieza

	1	X	2
	7.1	4.05	1.38
	7.82	4.22	1.36
	6.95	3.87	1.47	Watch
	8.5	3.9	1.36
	8.9	4.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.85 ↑ (7.23)	4.05 ↑ (3.95)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Minerva
11.6%

Draw
22.5%

Cieza
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

23%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

22.4%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Cieza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Minerva - Cieza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Taulemesse F. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Ceballos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Minerva is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cieza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Minerva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cieza is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Minerva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:10. (average 0:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Minerva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Minerva	5	2	2	1	3:2	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFC Minerva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.03.26	Bala Azul - Minerva	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Minerva - Pulpileño	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Minerva - Olímpico de Totana	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Cartagena B - Minerva	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Minerva - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLLL
- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.03.26	Cieza - Pulpileño	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Águilas B - Cieza	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Cieza - UCAM Murcia B	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Mazarrón - Cieza	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Cieza - El Palmar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.11.25	Cieza - Minerva	1:0
17.04.25	Cieza - Minerva	3:0
20.10.24	Minerva - Cieza	0:6

Upcoming Matches