Match Info

BELARUS: VYSSHAYA LIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion Torpedo (Minsk)

Referee: Shimusik V. (Blr)


	Minsk		SKA-1938

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	1.99	3.33	3.81
	1.95	3.44	3.72	Watch
	2.04	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.28)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	3.56 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minsk
46.6%

Draw
27.5%

SKA-1938
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minsk's performance.

SKA-1938 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-1938 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Minsk - SKA 1938 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Minsk will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Nechaev A. (G) 22. Gurban G. 4. Yakushevich G. 60. Tumanov A. 15. Kasarab M. 87. Pechura R. 13. Dushevskiy D. (C) 23. Nazarenko A. 77. Malashevich E. 2. Migdalenok A. 47. Martynov T.	1. Veretynskiy K. (G) 2. Karpenya V. 55. Lavrik A. (C) 3. Nurseitov T. 14. Pashevich P. 11. Nurymbet A. 6. Ageev I. 4. Jumayev V. 33. Makushinsky Y. 7. Bakaev A. 9. Barkovsky G.
Substitutes
78. Bondarenko V. 5. Dichtievsky V. 14. Grekovich V. 17. Kindruk E. 6. Kuznetsov Y. 9. Lapun E. 30. Pyatigorets V. (G) 26. Rufin Bekono F. 49. Saagi D. 35. Simanenka T.	20. Chul D. 25. Galyata D. 21. Maniongui D. 15. Markevich A. 18. Mikhalenko A. 10. Omelyanchuk M. 24. Savchenko D. 13. Seledtsov D. (G) 19. Turdimurodov R. 23. Turich A.
Coaches
Yaromko S.	Merkulov A.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Minsk won 0.

Minsk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Energetik-BGU has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Energetik-BGU could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Minsk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Minsk won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Minsk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.09.23	Gomel - Minsk	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Minsk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Neman Grodno - Minsk	3:0 ✺
25.08.23	Minsk - Naftan	1:0 ✺
11.08.23	Minsk - Slutsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWL
- SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
16.09.23	SKA-1938 - Gomel	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - SKA-1938	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	SKA-1938 - Neman Grodno	1:3 ✺
18.08.23	Naftan - SKA-1938	4:0 ✺
05.08.23	Slutsk - SKA-1938	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
13.05.23	SKA-1938 - Minsk	1:0
Club Friendly
08.02.23	Minsk - SKA-1938	1:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
02.10.22	Minsk - SKA-1938	0:0
14.05.22	SKA-1938 - Minsk	2:0
Club Friendly
15.01.22	SKA-1938 - Minsk	1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.11.21	SKA-1938 - Minsk	1:1
17.06.21	Minsk - SKA-1938	2:1

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