Match Info

Date: 28 September 2020, Monday


	Minsk		Smolevichi

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.75	10	Watch
	1.22	5.5	9
	1.22	5.75	9.5	Watch
	1.21	6.6	8.8
	1.22	6.56	13.02
	1.18	6	13	Watch
	1.22	6.7	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.4)	6.12 ↑ (4.72)	10.83 ↑ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minsk
76.4%

Draw
15.1%

Smolevichi
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

19.5%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.2%

16.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minsk's performance.

Smolevichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smolevichi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smolevichi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	7.3%	17.1%

Minsk - Smolevichi Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Minsk will win (votes: 31 - 75.6%). Smolevichi will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minsk: 62.5% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation to Pershaya Liga).

Minsk is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Smolevichi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Minsk is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Minsk won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Minsk won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.09.20	Smolevichi - Minsk	0:4 ✺
18.09.20	Neman Grodno - Minsk	2:0 ✺
11.09.20	Minsk - Gorodeja	3:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
05.09.20	Ostrovets - Minsk	0:3 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
29.08.20	Minsk - Neman Grodno	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW
- FC Smolevichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.09.20	Smolevichi - Minsk	0:4 ✺
18.09.20	Smolevichi - Rukh Brest	0:6 ✺
12.09.20	BATE Borisov - Smolevichi	5:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
28.08.20	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smolevichi	4:1 ET ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.08.20	SKA-1938 - Smolevichi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.09.20	Smolevichi - Minsk	0:4
Club Friendly
20.02.19	Minsk - Smolevichi	1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.08.18	Minsk - Smolevichi	0:0
15.04.18	Smolevichi - Minsk	1:1

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