Match Info

Date: 28 August 2020, Friday


	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk		Smolevichi

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.55
				Watch
	2.31	3.5	2.7
	2.32	3.41	2.79
	2.38	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.44	3.94	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.57)	3.57 ↑ (3.34)	2.65 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
39.5%

Draw
25.8%

Smolevichi
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

20.1%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Smolevichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smolevichi than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smolevichi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.4%	9.7%	41.9%

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smolevichi Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). Smolevichi will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 30.8% – 66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smolevichi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.08.20	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Granit Mikashevichi	3:0 ✺
22.07.20	Gomel - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:1 ✺
18.07.20	Smorgon - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
12.07.20	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Slonim	4:1 ✺
05.07.20	Lida - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWTWL
- FC Smolevichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.08.20	SKA-1938 - Smolevichi	4:1 ✺
01.08.20	Smolevichi - Belshina	0:3
26.07.20	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Smolevichi	4:0 ✺
18.07.20	Vitebsk - Smolevichi	1:0 ✺
10.07.20	Smolevichi - Isloch Minsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW

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