Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 27

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Haradski Stadium (Barysaw)


	BATE 2		Ostrovets

	1	X	2
	7.8	4.6	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.8 (7.8)	4.6 (4.6)	1.33 (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BATE 2
11.7%

Draw
19.8%

Ostrovets
68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

18.9%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for BATE 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Ostrovets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Zhurba V. (G) 27. Karshakevich D. 66. Kisel V. (C) 21. Kuimov I. 9. Kunskiy M. 77. Kuzmenok Y. 47. Machnach E. 45. Nikolaev E. 10. Sarkisyan T. 4. Shcherbakov N. 68. Starikov E.	1. Frolov I. (G) 11. Boychenko M. 8. Davidovich A. 18. Davyskiba R. 10. Goncharik K. (C) 44. Krivtsov G. 17. Medvedev R. 14. Mokshin I. 4. Prudnik D. 97. Tsyk D. 7. Zaytsev I.
Substitutes
7. Aliyev R. 8. Karpovich M. 17. Sakhonchik A. 35. Shilak A. (G) 11. Tolkach M.	82. Drozd V. (G) 9. Fedosenko A. 23. Gonzhurov A. 21. Kilyimanov A. 19. Mikhey E. 13. Snetkov A. 15. Statkevich T. 88. Yakimovich N. 20. Zhernosek G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Boychenko M. ⚽, Medvedev R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Aliyev R. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th and 10th).

In recent outings, BATE 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ostrovets is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ostrovets holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, BATE 2 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.7:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for BATE 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ostrovets	27	8	11	8	37:39	-2	35
16	BATE 2	27	5	7	15	36:61	-25	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
25.09.26	Slonim - BATE 2	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	BATE 2 - Uni X Labs Minsk	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Molodechno - BATE 2	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	BATE 2 - Gomel 2	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Orsha - BATE 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTW
- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.09.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Ostrovets	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ostrovets - Gomel 2	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Orsha - Ostrovets	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Ostrovets - Volna Pinsk	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Smorgon - Ostrovets	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.06.26	Ostrovets - BATE 2	0:0
28.09.25	BATE 2 - Ostrovets	1:3
17.08.24	Ostrovets - BATE 2	3:1

BATE 2 - Ostrovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide