Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 23

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Baranovichi)


	Baranovichi		BATE 2

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.76	3.68	Watch
	1.73	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.92)	3.76 ↑ (3.1)	3.64 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baranovichi
51.3%

Draw
24%

BATE 2
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

29.6%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

BATE 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Baranovichi - BATE 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Baranovichi (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Baranovichi (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Baranovichi (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Baranovichi (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perov D. (G) 11. Anikeev V. 77. Artyukh M. 22. Atrashkevich S. 4. Karpenya V. 14. Kirko I. 8. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 19. Nekrashevich D. 30. Ryabykh N. 3. Vasilenko V.	30. Klyakin M. (G) 7. Kiselev V. (C) 13. Kisel V. 8. Kolosovskiy P. 3. Nikonorov N. 21. Orlovskyi V. 14. Pashevich P. 17. Sakhonchik A. 5. Shevchik Z. 15. Shkondin A. 18. Shvedchikov A.
Substitutes
21. Baranovskiy T. 93. Dresmanis A. (G) 9. Galuza D. 2. Kendysh S. 33. Litskevich M. 12. Mikhey E. 80. Nakonechny D. 29. Penchuk S. 17. Shevchenko M. 5. Zhukovskiy A.	9. Aliyev R. 6. Chuevskiy E. 16. Gavrilov M. 44. Golovachenko V. 23. Kuimov I. 22. Kuzmenok Y. 99. Martinovich D. (G) 4. Vergeichik D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kirko I. ⚽, Artyukh M. (A),
34', Shvedchikov A. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Anikeev V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Anikeev V. ↓, Penchuk S. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Orlovskyi V. ⚽,
56', 3 - 1, Nekrashevich D. ⚽, Artyukh M. (A),
58', Sakhonchik A. ↓, Kuimov I. ↑,
72', Kolosovskiy P. ↓, Golovachenko V. ↑,
72', Kisel V. ↓, Aliyev R. ↑,
74', Lapun E. ↓, Kendysh S. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Artyukh M. ⚽, Nekrashevich D. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga and 6).

Baranovichi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, BATE 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

BATE 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, BATE 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Baranovichi is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baranovichi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Baranovichi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
30.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Baranovichi - BumProm Gomel	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Baranovichi - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Baranovichi - Belshina	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Slonim - Baranovichi	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWW
- BATE 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
29.08.25	BATE 2 - Belarus U19	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Uni X Labs Minsk - BATE 2	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Osipovichi - BATE 2	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Niva Dolbizno - BATE 2	5:3 ✺
02.08.25	Orsha - BATE 2	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.08.24	Baranovichi - BATE 2	0:1

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