Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 15

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Minyor (Pernik)


	Minyor Pernik		Montana

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.85	2.16
	3.51	2.74	2.13
	3.63	2.89	2.14	Watch
	3.58	2.89	2.11
	3.5	2.85	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.67)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	2.14 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minyor Pernik
25.6%

Draw
31.9%

Montana
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

31.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

31.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minyor Pernik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minyor Pernik's form might have worsened.

Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minyor Pernik than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minyor Pernik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Minyor Pernik - Montana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bozhidarov K. (G) 7. Aleksandrov A. (C) 4. Avramov D. 3. Chilikov P. 19. Chukanov B. 6. Ivanov 39. Orachev M. 15. Semerdzhiev V. 8. Slishkov K. 22. Vutsov P. 10. Yosifov K.	30. Simeonov V. (C) 4. Borisov N. 6. Dinev D. 14. Dobrev V. 9. Ejike P. 18. Iliev K. 24. Kouakou W. 13. Rusinov I. 10. Todorov A. 23. Tungarov A. 20. Vakadinov B.
Substitutes
20. Dobrev T. 25. Dzhorov D. 14. Ivanov V. 1. Leontiev D. (G) 5. Petrov V. 17. Simeonov K. 24. Stoimenov D. 26. Velichkov K. 16. Viktorov R.	8. Atanasov P. 21. Burov D. 22. Kamenov S. 17. Minkov G. 7. Slavchev R. 11. Sorakov M. 15. Taskov K. 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 12. Veskov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
53', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Minyor Pernik won 0.

Minyor Pernik has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Montana have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Minyor Pernik won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Minyor Pernik won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minyor Pernik
Bulgarian Cup
31.10.24	Minyor Pernik - Botev Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.10.24	Ludogorets II - Minyor Pernik	5:1 ✺
18.10.24	Minyor Pernik - Nesebar	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Spartak Pleven - Minyor Pernik	3:2 ✺
30.09.24	Minyor Pernik - CSKA Sofia II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.24	Montana - Slavia Sofia	1:3 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.10.24	Montana - Yantra Gabrovo	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Montana - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1 ✺
07.10.24	Ludogorets II - Montana	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Montana - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.03.23	Montana - Minyor Pernik	1:1
13.08.22	Minyor Pernik - Montana	0:0
01.04.22	Montana - Minyor Pernik	2:1
18.09.21	Minyor Pernik - Montana	1:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.05.13	Montana - Minyor Pernik	2:0
18.11.12	Minyor Pernik - Montana	2:1
31.03.12	Montana - Minyor Pernik	N/A

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