Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Minyor (Pernik)


	Minyor Pernik		Nesebar

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	7.8
	1.35	4.27	8.95	Watch
	1.31	4.33	9.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	4.27 ↑ (4)	8.75 ↑ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minyor Pernik
68.3%

Draw
21.3%

Nesebar
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.6%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

14.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minyor Pernik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minyor Pernik than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minyor Pernik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nesebar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Minyor Pernik - Nesebar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leontiev D. (C) 4. Avramov D. 3. Chilikov P. 6. Ivanov 14. Ivanov V. 15. Semerdzhiev V. 8. Slishkov K. 24. Stoimenov D. 22. Vutsov P. 13. Yordanov Y. 10. Yosifov K.	33. Pepelyashev P. (G) 6. Dalev G. 15. Dalev K. 5. Dimov P. 20. Gavov N. 9. Gelin N. 27. Kostov N. (C) 8. Kunev V. 99. Parashkevov K. 4. Petrov T. 18. Pyuskyulyu N.
Substitutes
12. Bozhidarov K. (G) 19. Chukanov B. 20. Dobrev T. 9. Georgiev M. 39. Orachev M. 5. Petrov V. 17. Simeonov K. 26. Velichkov K. 16. Viktorov R.	14. Balinov D. 16. Georgiev H. 13. Ivanov D. 1. Kaishev M. (G) 19. Kozhevnikov O. 7. Slivov V. 10. Velinov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', 🟨,
18', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Minyor Pernik is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nesebar has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Minyor Pernik is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minyor Pernik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.10.24	Spartak Pleven - Minyor Pernik	3:2 ✺
30.09.24	Minyor Pernik - CSKA Sofia II	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Fratria - Minyor Pernik	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Minyor Pernik - Sportist Svoge	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Minyor Pernik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTTL
- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.10.24	Nesebar - Yantra Gabrovo	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Montana - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Nesebar - Ludogorets II	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Nesebar - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:5 ✺
07.09.24	Spartak Pleven - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

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