The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Pleven 53.6%
Draw 26.8%
Nesebar 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
27.2%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
19.4%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Pleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Nesebar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Pleven that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nesebar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Spartak Pleven - Nesebar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Dishkov B. (G) 24. Antonov P. 8. Chernakov R. 22. Georgiev P. 21. Kalchev D. 9. Nikolaev I. 19. Pehlivanov Y. 11. Petkov H. 10. Shopov V. 26. Stoyanov D. 5. Varbanov I. (C)
33. Pepelyashev P. (G) 5. Dimov P. 20. Gavov N. 9. Gelin N. 13. Ivanov D. 27. Kostov N. (C) 8. Kunev V. 99. Parashkevov K. 4. Petrov T. 18. Pyuskyulyu N. 7. Slivov V.
Substitutes
7. Al Badarin M. 16. Bakalski I. 2. Grahlyov K. 33. Nedyalkov V. 66. Petkov S. 30. Stefanov D. (G) 18. Tairov M.
14. Balinov D. 6. Dalev G. 90. Georgiev H. 91. Hristov V. 1. Kaishev M. (G) 19. Kozevnikov A. 21. Minev A. 17. Uzunov A. 10. Velinov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16).
Recent matches Spartak Pleven is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nesebar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Spartak Pleven is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Spartak Pleven won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.