Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Minyor Pernik		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.63	2.2
	3.3	3	2.11
	3.7	2.79	2.3
	3.74	2.89	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.74)	2.83 ↓ (2.94)	2.18 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minyor Pernik
26%

Draw
32.2%

Septemvri Sofia
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

31.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minyor Pernik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minyor Pernik's form might have worsened.

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Septemvri Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minyor Pernik than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minyor Pernik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Minyor Pernik - Septemvri Sofia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Septemvri Sofia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Septemvri Sofia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Minyor Pernik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Minyor Pernik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minyor Pernik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.04.22	Strumska Slava Radomir - Minyor Pernik	2:1 ✺
01.04.22	Montana - Minyor Pernik	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Minyor Pernik - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
14.03.22	Botev Plovdiv II - Minyor Pernik	3:0 ✺
09.03.22	Minyor Pernik - Sozopol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLW
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.04.22	Septemvri Sofia - Yantra Gabrovo	4:1 ✺
06.04.22	Septemvri Simitli - Septemvri Sofia	1:2 ✺
02.04.22	Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.03.22	Levski Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	3:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.03.22	Ludogorets II - Septemvri Sofia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
15.10.21	Septemvri Sofia - Minyor Pernik	3:0
08.04.21	Minyor Pernik - Septemvri Sofia	1:0
14.09.20	Septemvri Sofia - Minyor Pernik	3:1

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