Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 8

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: David Farrington Park (Wellington)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Miramar Rangers		Auckland City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.65	2.12	Watch
	2.83	3.81	2.19
	3.40	3.92	1.90	Watch
	2.84	3.94	2.16
	3.5	3.95	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.4)	3.85 ↓ (3.95)	2.04 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Rangers
30.4%

Draw
24.1%

Auckland City
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

23.6%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.7%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Auckland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Miramar Rangers - Auckland City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).

In recent matches, Miramar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Auckland City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Auckland City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Miramar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Rangers
New Zealand National League
08.11.25	Coastal Spirit - Miramar Rangers	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Miramar Rangers - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Miramar Rangers	1:4 ✺
10.10.25	Miramar Rangers - Auckland United	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Christchurch United - Miramar Rangers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTL
- Auckland City FC
New Zealand National League
07.11.25	Auckland City - Auckland United	4:2 ✺
31.10.25	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Auckland City - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Auckland City - Western Suburbs	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
19.11.22	Auckland City - Miramar Rangers	2:1

Miramar Rangers - Auckland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide