Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio São Sebastião (Mirandela)


	Mirandela		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.88	2.82
	2.6	2.69	2.88
	2.58	2.82	2.86	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.7
	2.52	3.09	2.78
	2.6	2.62	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.37)	2.82 ↓ (3.02)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandela
35.8%

Draw
32.2%

Vilaverdense
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Mirandela - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mirandela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mirandela won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mirandela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.01.26	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Mirandela - Machico	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Mirandela - Brito	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	São Martinho - Mirandela	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Mirandela - Vianense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWL
- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.01.26	Vilaverdense - Ribeira Brava	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celoricense - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vilaverdense - Bragança	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Vilaverdense - Machico	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Brito - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.10.25	Vilaverdense - Mirandela	3:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.21	Vilaverdense - Mirandela	0:1
10.02.19	Vilaverdense - Mirandela	1:4
08.10.17	Mirandela - Vilaverdense	3:2

Mirandela - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide