Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 1

Date: 14 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Gonzalez Diaz M. (Esp)


	Mirandés		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.88	Watch
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.65	2.85	2.95
	2.81	2.93	3.03
	2.7	2.99	2.83	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.39)	2.93 ↓ (3.05)	2.89 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
35.4%

Draw
32.1%

Alcorcón
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

32.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	50%	21.4%

Mirandés - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lopez L. (G) 21. Moreno D. 4. Sergio Barcia 3. Barbu 26. Alcedo J. 8. Sanz A. 10. Reina A. 17. Iosifov N. 9. Martin C. 7. Martinez G. 29. Dominguez A. G.	1. Ruiz Suarez J. (G) 17. Garcia V. 2. Castro Urdin J. 6. Babin J. 3. Morillas D. 7. Bustos A. 5. Mosquera P. 8. Rodriganez J. 15. Lara J. 21. Obieta K. 14. Lopez A.
Substitutes
11. Chaira I. 31. Dominguez I. (G) 24. Gomez J. 1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 28. Orobio E. 30. Ortiz A. 27. Ramon P. 34. Rosales D. 15. Tomeo P.	13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 9. Borrego C. 18. Eteki Y. 28. Garrido J. 26. Hernandez E. 10. Juanma Bravo 20. Lopez I. 29. Ortega I. 4. Rivas Viondi O.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Fernandez F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 1.

Recent matches Mirandés is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Club Friendly
05.08.23	SD Logroñés - Mirandés	0:2 ✺
02.08.23	Osasuna B - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Mirandés - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
26.07.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Huesca - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLT
- AD Alcorcón
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Albacete Balompié - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
02.08.23	Elche - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
26.07.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Alcorcón	0:5 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.06.23	Alcorcón - Castellón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.01.22	Alcorcón - Mirandés	0:0
11.09.21	Mirandés - Alcorcón	1:3
08.03.21	Alcorcón - Mirandés	4:0
13.09.20	Mirandés - Alcorcón	0:0
08.03.20	Alcorcón - Mirandés	1:2
20.09.19	Mirandés - Alcorcón	2:2
07.04.17	Mirandés - Alcorcón	2:0

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