Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Alcorcón		Castellón

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.95	4
	1.85	2.9	4.5
	1.91	3.04	4.88
	1.91	2.9	4.33
	1.87	3.02	4.8
	1.94	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.57)	2.98 ↓ (3.3)	4.4 ↓ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
48.4%

Draw
30.8%

Castellón
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

27.7%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

26.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón's form might have worsened.

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Alcorcón - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Castellón will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz Suarez J. (G) 17. Garcia V. 2. Castro Urdin J. 6. Babin J. 3. Morillas D. 19. Gomez E. 8. Moyano A. 5. Mosquera P. 15. Lara J. 7. Bustos A. 9. Borrego C.	1. Vacas A. P. (G) 16. Sanchez M. 18. Indias I. 2. Granero B. 17. Ruiz S. 20. De Leon J. 3. Kochorashvili G. 6. Rodriguez C. 8. Salvador C. 10. Kone K. A. 21. de Miguel J.
Substitutes
36. Addai E. 11. Berto 23. Dalmau A. 18. Garcia P. 22. Jimenez J. 10. Juanma Bravo 14. Lopez A. 20. Lopez I. 28. Paredes Y. R. 13. Prieto A. (G) 16. Ribelles J. 4. Rivas Viondi O.	4. Anton J. 5. Baas R. 23. Calavera J. 9. Cubillas D. 12. Fabricio 11. Fuentes A. 14. Gil O. 19. Hernandez P. 15. Magagi Y. 22. Sanchez R. 13. Sarr C. (G) 7. Suero I.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Alcorcón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Castellón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alcorcón is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.06.23	Castellón - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
10.06.23	Alcorcón - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Real Sociedad B - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
27.05.23	Alcorcón - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	San Fernando - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWWW
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.06.23	Castellón - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	4:3 ET ✺
04.06.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.05.23	Real Sociedad B - Castellón	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Castellón - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.06.23	Castellón - Alcorcón	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
12.04.21	Alcorcón - Castellón	2:1
24.11.20	Castellón - Alcorcón	0:2

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