Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 6

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Vieira Monteiro A. (Bra)


	Mirassol		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	8	Watch
	1.49	3.9	6
	1.47	4	7
	1.49	4.09	7.82
	1.5	4.02	7.82
	1.5	4	6.5
	1.48	3.85	7.41	Watch
	1.48	3.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)	3.96 ↑ (3.84)	7.17 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
63.2%

Draw
23.7%

Ituano
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

24.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Mirassol - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 28. Warley 25. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho (C) 10. Chico Kim 100. Negueba 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho	12. Jefferson Paulino (C) 2. Leo Duarte 4. Vitao 3. Claudinho 6. Jonathan 5. Rodrigo 8. Miqueias 10. Eduardo Person 11. Leozinho 9. Thonny Anderson 7. Vinicius Paiva
Substitutes
2. Alex Silva 15. Artur 21. Diego Goncalves 27. Gabriel 14. Isaque 3. Lucas Gazal 26. Miguel Silva 6. PH 9. Quirino 12. Sidnei (G) 1. Vanderlei (G) 33. Wanderson	21. Bruno Alves 17. Bruno Xavier 13. Gabriel Falcao 20. Jean Pyerre 15. Joao Vialle 23. Jose Aldo 14. Marcel Scalese 16. Marlinho 22. Ruan Carlos 1. Wesley Borges (G) 18. Yann Rolim 19. Ze Eduardo
Coaches
Mozart	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Leozinho ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
47', Leo Duarte 🟨,
55', Jonathan ↓, Marlinho ↑,
59', Neto Moura ↓, Gabriel ↑,
59', Chico Kim ↓, Isaque ↑,
62', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
65', Thonny Anderson ↓, Ze Eduardo ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
76', Rodrigo 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Danielzinho ⚽,
78', Rodrigo ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
78', Eduardo Person ↓, Jean Pyerre ↑,
85', Warley ↓, Artur ↑,
85', Dellatorre ↓, Quirino ↑,
88', Fernandinho ↓, PH ↑,
90+2', Marlinho 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1.

Recent matches Mirassol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ituano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ituano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirassol is certain favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Yuri Lima (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Neto Berola (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
15.05.24	América Mineiro - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	Mirassol - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
07.05.24	Botafogo SP - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
29.04.24	Mirassol - Ceará	3:2 ✺
23.04.24	Brusque - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTWL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
15.05.24	Ituano - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
10.05.24	Goiás - Ituano	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:3 ✺
26.04.24	Ituano - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Chapecoense - Ituano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.02.24	Ituano - Mirassol	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.23	Ituano - Mirassol	0:0
03.07.23	Mirassol - Ituano	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.02.23	Mirassol - Ituano	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
28.08.21	Ituano - Mirassol	2:1
26.06.21	Mirassol - Ituano	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
07.03.21	Ituano - Mirassol	1:1

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