Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 19

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Chapecoense		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.63	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.65
	3	2.8	2.65
	3.15	2.78	2.77
	3.02	2.79	2.67	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.6
	2.89	2.88	2.66	Watch
	3	2.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.72)	2.82 ↓ (3)	2.66 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
31.6%

Draw
33.2%

Mirassol
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

32.3%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	39.1%	21.7%

Chapecoense - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 34. Rodrigo Moledo 32. Jhonnathan 57. JP Galvao 99. Rafael Carvalheira 98. Mailton 76. Felipe Vieira 35. Foguinho 10. Giovanni Augusto 89. Mario Sergio	23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 37. Zeca 25. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho 27. Gabriel (C) 10. Chico Kim 11. Negueba 99. Leo Gamalho
Substitutes
5. Auremir 22. Bruno Vinicius 81. Daniel Cruz 1. Gabriel Gasparotto (G) 4. Joao Paulo 6. Mancha 8. Marlone 9. Pedro Perotti 70. Rubens Ricoldi 31. Tarik 21. Thiago Henrique 30. Thomas Bedinelli	2. Alex Silva 14. Isaque 20. Joao Pedro 3. Lucas Gazal 98. Marquinhos 9. Quirino 32. Rodrigo Andrade 1. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Rodrigues C.	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Mario Sergio (Pen),
42', Rodrigo Moledo ↓, Bruno Vinicius ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Leo Gamalho ⚽, Negueba (A),
60', Negueba ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
69', Leo Gamalho ↓, Quirino ↑,
69', Danielzinho ↓, Rodrigo Andrade ↑,
69', JP Galvao ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
69', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Marlone ↑,
77', Mario Sergio ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
78', Felipe Vieira ↓, Thomas Bedinelli ↑,
79', Neto Moura ↓, Lucas Gazal ↑,
79', Chico Kim ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
88', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 5).

Recent matches Chapecoense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirassol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Romulo (Injury) Ronaldo Mendes (Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Bruno Matias (Red Card)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
27.07.24	Coritiba - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
23.07.24	Chapecoense - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
18.07.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Chapecoense - Brusque	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Goiás - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTLTW
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
27.07.24	Mirassol - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
23.07.24	Mirassol - Avaí	0:0 ✺
19.07.24	Coritiba - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
12.07.24	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	4:2 ✺
09.07.24	Mirassol - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.07.23	Chapecoense - Mirassol	0:1
15.04.23	Mirassol - Chapecoense	1:0

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