Match Info

Date: 3 November 2026, Tuesday ⏱️ In 6d 11h 📅 Remind Me


	Chapecoense		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.25	3.6	2.02
	3.03	3.64	2.24	Watch
	3.1	3.61	2.26	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3.03)	3.59 ↓ (3.64)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
30.4%

Draw
26.2%

Mirassol
43.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Chapecoense - Mirassol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 20th in the Relegation - Serie B and 15th).

Chapecoense is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Mirassol has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mirassol holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chapecoense against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
20	Chapecoense-SC	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Last Results with these Odds

Mirassol - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.47%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
24.10.26	Chapecoense - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
12.10.26	Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense	1:4 ✺
07.10.26	Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLT
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
24.10.26	Mirassol - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
16.10.26	Mirassol - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Bahia - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
07.10.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mirassol - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Mirassol - Chapecoense	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	Mirassol - Chapecoense	1:0
05.08.24	Chapecoense - Mirassol	0:1
29.07.23	Chapecoense - Mirassol	0:1
15.04.23	Mirassol - Chapecoense	1:0

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