The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Corinthians 54.4%
Draw 25.8%
Mirassol 19.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.9%
24.4%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
26.3%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Corinthians - Mirassol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
Corinthians has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Mirassol has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Corinthians is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:8 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Corinthians against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:1 goals (averaging 2:0.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Mirassol
32
9
10
13
37:45
-8
37
18
Corinthians
32
8
9
15
34:42
-8
33
Last Results with these Odds
Corinthians - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.91%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.