Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Mitre		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.5	3.6	Watch
	2.4	2.6	3.4
	2.47	2.55	3.55	Watch
	2.67	2.43	3.87
	2.64	2.36	3.79	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.5
	2.51	2.5	3.53	Watch
	2.47	2.55	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.3)	2.52 ↓ (2.85)	3.6 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
37.2%

Draw
36.9%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Mitre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 1 - 20%). E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Mieres B. 2. Wiechniak F. 6. Moscarelli O. 3. Sanchez M. 5. Alessandroni J. 8. Kabalin M. 7. Rios L. 9. Batista A. 11. Penepil M. 10. Rosales S.	1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Antonini J. 2. Maffini G. (C) 6. Pagliaricci M. 3. Angelini L. 5. Vazquez F. 8. Fenoglio V. 7. Cuello A. 10. Orosco B. 11. Valiente M. 9. Garnerone M.
Substitutes
17. Gonzalez E. 14. Gonzalez R. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 16. Lujan S. 20. Machado M. 13. Manenti F. 18. Ramirez A. 19. Romero N. 15. Valdivia G.	12. Bigo J. (G) 13. Cobos F. 20. Ferreira J. 19. Gonzalez L. 16. Gudino G. 18. Morales A. 14. Ruiz M. 17. Tevez M.
Coaches
Sciacqua M.	Delfino I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Angelini L. 🟨,
39', Garnerone M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Penepil M. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
63', Batista A. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
66', Cuello A. 🟨,
67', Fenoglio V. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
69', Olivera B. 🟨,
70', Pagliaricci M. ↓, Cobos F. ↑,
76', Rios N. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
76', Mieres B. ↓, Valdivia G. ↑,
81', Valiente M. ↓, Tevez M. ↑,
81', Cuello A. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
81', Orosco B. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
81', Kabalin M. ↓, Machado M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mitre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mitre won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.05.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Mitre	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Mitre - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	San Telmo - Mitre	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Mitre - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTWT
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Colón	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Temperley - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.08.24	Mitre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0
25.03.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Mitre	0:0
29.10.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Mitre	1:0
02.10.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Mitre	0:0
05.09.21	Mitre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1
26.04.21	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Mitre	2:1
14.03.20	Mitre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0

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