Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Mitre		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.7	4.2	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.9
	2.23	2.7	3.85	Watch
	2.23	2.74	4.41
	2.25	2.6	4.25	Watch
	2.1	2.8	4
	2.18	2.61	4.15
	2.23	2.7	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.98)	2.69 ↓ (3.3)	4.08 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
42.5%

Draw
34.6%

Chacarita Juniors
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

29.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Mitre - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chacarita (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jachfe L. (G) 2. Wiechniak F. 6. Melillan F. 3. Moscarelli O. 11. Penepil M. 8. Kabalin M. 5. Alessandroni J. 9. Rios L. 4. Gonzalez R. 7. Machado M. 10. Rosales S.	1. Avellaneda N. (G) 4. Errecalde G. 2. Rebola A. 6. Andueza F. 3. Quiroga A. 7. Gonzalez J. (C) 5. Ortiz T. 8. Chocobar V. 10. Blanco R. 9. Rivero H. 11. Ciccolini L.
Substitutes
20. Barberini V. 17. Gonzalez E. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 16. Lujan S. 13. Manenti F. 18. Martinez E. 19. Romero N. 14. Sanchez M. 15. Valdivia G.	19. Apa S. 18. Araujo A. 15. Duran D. 14. Fernandez T. 16. Figueroa V. 13. Migliore T. 17. Quiroz M. 20. Salinas R. 12. Strumia J. (G)
Coaches
Sciacqua M.	Azconzabal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Errecalde G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Melillan F. 🟨,
57', Andueza F. 🟨,
64', Chocobar V. ↓, Quiroz M. ↑,
71', Machado M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
71', Rios L. ↓, Barberini V. ↑,
74', Ciccolini L. ↓, Apa S. ↑,
74', Rivero H. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
77', Apa S. 🟨,
79', Melillan F. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
79', Penepil M. ↓, Valdivia G. ↑,
79', Ortiz T. ↓, Figueroa V. ↑,
84', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
88', Gonzalez R. ↓, Manenti F. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mitre won 1.

Mitre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chacarita in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mitre will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mitre won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.25	San Telmo - Mitre	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Mitre - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Mitre	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Central Norte - Mitre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTTW
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.25	Chacarita Juniors - Colón	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Temperley - Chacarita Juniors	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Chacarita Juniors - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Morón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.07.23	Mitre - Chacarita Juniors	1:2
18.03.23	Chacarita Juniors - Mitre	1:1
15.05.22	Mitre - Chacarita Juniors	0:3
12.11.21	Chacarita Juniors - Mitre	1:3
18.07.21	Mitre - Chacarita Juniors	1:2
04.12.18	Chacarita Juniors - Mitre	0:2

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