Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Mixto		Porto Velho

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.64	3.6	4.7
	1.62	3.38	5.16
	1.65	3.49	5.07	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.3
	1.69	3.65	4.95
	1.64	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.31)	3.49 ↑ (3.1)	4.73 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mixto
54.6%

Draw
26.1%

Porto Velho
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mixto's performance.

Porto Velho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto Velho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mixto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Velho than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto Velho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mixto - Porto Velho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
29', 1 - 0, Emerson Machado ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
63', 2 - 2, Gilvan ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Dionatha ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, Dionatha ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Mixto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto Velho is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mixto-MT
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
29.03.25	Mixto - Operário Ltda	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Operário Ltda - Mixto	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Mixto - Primavera AC	2:3 penalties ✺
10.03.25	Primavera AC - Mixto	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Primavera AC - Mixto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLTW
- Porto Velho EC
Brazilian Campeonato Rondoniense
02.04.25	Ji-Paraná - Porto Velho	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.25	Capital CF Ltda - Porto Velho	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Rondoniense
05.03.25	Porto Velho - Guaporé	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Porto Velho - Rolim de Moura	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.02.25	Porto Velho - Cuiabá	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWWW

Mixto - Porto Velho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide