Match Info

Serie D - Round 13

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday


	Capital CF Ltda		Porto Velho

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.46	4.05	5.7
	1.37	4.05	7.82
	1.05	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.42	4.05	6.75
	1.45	3.96	5.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.46)	3.52 ↓ (4)	5.43 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capital CF Ltda
61%

Draw
23.7%

Porto Velho
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.5%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

18.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capital CF Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Porto Velho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Capital CF Ltda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Velho than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Capital CF Ltda - Porto Velho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 8).

Recent form of Capital has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Porto Velho has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Porto Velho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Capital is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Capital won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Capital won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capital CF Ltda
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.25	Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Mixto - Capital CF Ltda	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Luverdense - Capital CF Ltda	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Capital CF Ltda - Goianésia	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Goiânia - Capital CF Ltda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLTT
- Porto Velho EC
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Aparecidense - Porto Velho	7:0 ✺
14.06.25	Porto Velho - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Ceilândia - Porto Velho	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Porto Velho - Ceilândia	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Luverdense - Porto Velho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Porto Velho - Capital CF Ltda	0:1
Copa do Brasil
12.03.25	Capital CF Ltda - Porto Velho	3:1

Capital CF Ltda - Porto Velho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide