Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)


	Mjøndalen		Jerv

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.60	2.00
	2.95	3.50	2.08
	3.03	3.66	2.10
	2.88	3.92	2.14	Watch
	3.00	3.60	2.07
	3.06	3.58	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.67)	3.64 ↓ (3.82)	2.09 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
30.9%

Draw
25.2%

Jerv
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

24.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

23.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Mjøndalen - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klausen P. (G) 6. Bjornebye T. (C) 14. Flem T. 3. Kristiansen E. 7. Midtgard O. 92. Ottesen M. 20. Pajic E. 77. Schmolker V. 17. Solberg J. 5. Sundo B. 4. Vik I.	23. Agelin T. 15. Almen M. (C) 16. Andersen D. 11. Badjie K. 3. Hultqvist D. 22. Kolve E. 10. Kvinge M. 17. Nordbo S. 40. Osestad S. 9. Simba P. 20. Svendby C.
Substitutes
18. Arsbog N. 21. Breivik C. 9. Bringaker M. 11. Bruusgaard J. 27. Kekeli K. 25. Reiersen J. (G) 19. Rotihaug O. 29. Sesay G. 15. Steinset K.	77. Alanko S. 97. Furaha J. 26. Isaksen P. 41. Kussl L. 4. Sanchez J. 36. Seim-Monsen M. 99. Skiftenes A. (G) 42. Syvertsen M. 7. Syvertsen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Kvinge M. ↓, Alanko S. ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Alanko S. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Alanko S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ottesen M. ↓, Bringaker M. ↑,
46', Simba P. ↓, Syvertsen P. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Syvertsen P. ⚽,
62', Schmolker V. ↓, Arsbog N. ↑,
62', Pajic E. ↓, Kekeli K. ↑,
67', Alanko S. ↓, Furaha J. ↑,
68', Syvertsen P. 🟨,
71', Midtgard O. 🟨,
81', Sundo B. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
81', Flem T. ↓, Sesay G. ↑,
89', Badjie K. ↓, Isaksen P. ↑,
89', Kolve E. ↓, Syvertsen M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Jerv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjøndalen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jerv	22	16	4	2	47:21	26	52
4	Mjondalen	22	14	2	6	43:28	15	44

Last Results with these Odds

Jerv - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
30.08.26	Bjarg - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Bærum - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.08.26	Mjøndalen - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kvik Halden - Mjøndalen	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Mjøndalen - Notodden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
30.08.26	Jerv - Pors	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sandviken - Jerv	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Jerv - Vidar	4:0 ✺
02.08.26	Træff - Jerv	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Jerv - Lysekloster	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
12.04.26	Jerv - Mjøndalen	1:0
30.11.24	Jerv - Mjøndalen	1:3
24.11.24	Mjøndalen - Jerv	2:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.23	Mjøndalen - Jerv	2:2
03.05.23	Jerv - Mjøndalen	2:3
21.10.18	Mjøndalen - Jerv	1:1
22.04.18	Jerv - Mjøndalen	0:0

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