Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 4

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Hatam A. (Nor)


	Mjøndalen		Kristiansund

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.8	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.8
	3.8	3.85	1.8
	3.97	4.01	1.83
	3.9	3.3	1.83
	4	3.66	1.87	Watch
	3.8	3.65	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (2.16)	3.7 ↑ (3.24)	1.82 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
23.7%

Draw
25.2%

Kristiansund
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.5%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.8%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mjøndalen's form might have worsened.

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristiansund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjøndalen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kristiansund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mjøndalen - Kristiansund Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kristiansund will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 1.

Mjøndalen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kristiansund is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Kristiansund is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.04.23	Mjøndalen - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Mjøndalen - Åsane	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.04.23	Start - Mjøndalen	3:3 ✺
25.03.23	Strømsgodset - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTTL
- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.04.23	Kristiansund - Kongsvinger	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Start - Kristiansund	4:0 ✺
10.04.23	Kristiansund - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.04.23	Aalesunds - Kristiansund	1:0 ✺
24.03.23	Kristiansund - Viking Stavanger	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
27.10.21	Mjøndalen - Kristiansund	5:0
24.06.21	Kristiansund - Mjøndalen	1:1
22.11.20	Kristiansund - Mjøndalen	1:0
28.06.20	Mjøndalen - Kristiansund	1:2
25.08.19	Kristiansund - Mjøndalen	4:0
16.06.19	Mjøndalen - Kristiansund	1:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.09.16	Kristiansund - Mjøndalen	0:2

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