Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 16

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Sparebanken Sør Arena (Kristiansand)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Start		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	7.5
	1.32	5	7.5
	1.34	5.1	7.2	Watch
	1.34	5.37	8.3
	1.09	9.67	22.48	Watch
	1.33	4.8	7.5
	1.34	5.15	8.15	Watch
	1.35	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)	5.57 ↑ (5.05)	9.33 ↑ (6.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start
72.7%

Draw
17.1%

Mjøndalen
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

18.7%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

17.9%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Start - Mjøndalen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Mjøndalen (4.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Start will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjøndalen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 6. Norheim J. 3. Ujkani A. 2. Palerud F. 10. Mvoue S. 14. Soomets M. 18. Ugland M. 16. Strannegard T. 11. Schulze E. (C) 20. Lorentzen H.	87. Oy L. (G) 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 2. Vik I. 27. Kekeli K. 30. Holst-Larsen F. 17. Bata K. 16. Godwin F. 3. Molund A. 11. Bruusgaard J. 15. Kvam F. 20. Arierhi K.
Substitutes
19. Dashaev D. 34. Eidshaug F. 29. Gono E. 13. Griesbeck S. 5. Jebali O. 22. Nilsen A. E. 21. Sjokvist S. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 17. Sundo B.	18. Arsbog N. 21. Bratvold S. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 26. Eriksen S. 25. Ogboji T. 7. Reutersward L. 10. Saetherbo K. 28. Sawaneh E. 6. Skau J.
Coaches
Karadas A.	Nicol K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Norheim J. ⚽, Schulze E. (A),
17', Schulze E. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Mvoue S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Midtgarden E. ↓, Skau J. ↑,
46', Kvam F. ↓, Reutersward L. ↑,
46', Kekeli K. 🟥,
57', Mvoue S. ↓, Nilsen A. E. ↑,
67', Strannegard T. ↓, Dashaev D. ↑,
67', Palerud F. ↓, Sjokvist S. ↑,
67', Godwin F. ↓, Bratvold S. ↑,
67', Vik I. ↓, Saetherbo K. ↑,
78', Holst-Larsen F. ↓, Eriksen S. ↑,
83', Norheim J. ↓, Jebali O. ↑,
83', Schulze E. ↓, Eidshaug F. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Lorentzen H. ⚽, Ugland M. (A),
90+2', Dashaev D. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 0, Soomets M. ⚽, Nilsen A. E. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Start won 3.

Start is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mjøndalen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Start may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Start is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Start won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Start won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.07.25	Kongsvinger - Start	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Start - Lillestrøm SK	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Skeid - Start	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Odd - Start	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Start - Stabæk	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWTW
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.07.25	Mjøndalen - Åsane	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Hødd - Mjøndalen	3:1 ✺
23.06.25	Mjøndalen - Skeid	1:4 ✺
18.06.25	Odd - Mjøndalen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.04.25	Mjøndalen - Start	2:3
03.08.24	Start - Mjøndalen	1:0
15.04.24	Mjøndalen - Start	1:1
21.10.23	Mjøndalen - Start	2:0
08.07.23	Start - Mjøndalen	3:0
Club Friendly
01.04.23	Start - Mjøndalen	3:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.07.22	Mjøndalen - Start	0:0

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