The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mjøndalen 25.6%
Draw 28.2%
Rosenborg 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
27.6%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20%
21.2%
60.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mjøndalen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.5%
7.9%
81.6%
Mjøndalen - Rosenborg Predictions
Users Predictions:
Rosenborg will win
(31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation) and 5).
Mjøndalen has the most likely position - 15 (19.76%), has project points - 29, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rosenborg has the most likely position - 3 (24.29%), has project points - 50, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Recent matches Mjøndalen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rosenborg is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Rosenborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Rosenborg will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.