The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarpsborg 08 43%
Draw 30.8%
Mjøndalen 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
27.2%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.2%
21.3%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarpsborg 08's form might have worsened.
Mjøndalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+21.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mjøndalen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
26.9%
23.1%
Sarpsborg 08 - Mjøndalen Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Mjøndalen will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 30.8% – 69.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).
Sarpsborg has the most likely position - 12 (13.08%), has project points - 36, has currently - 13, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mjøndalen has the most likely position - 13 (14.42%), has project points - 33, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sarpsborg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Mjøndalen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sarpsborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Sarpsborg will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Sarpsborg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
Watch
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