Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)


	Mjøndalen		Sotra

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.20
	2.80	3.20	2.20
	2.96	3.47	2.23
	2.84	3.64	2.26	Watch
	2.90	3.40	2.18
	2.95	3.58	2.22
	2.8	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.53)	3.46 ↓ (3.63)	2.21 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
32.1%

Draw
26.5%

Sotra
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sotra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Mjøndalen - Sotra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klausen P. (G) 6. Bjornebye T. (C) 9. Bringaker M. 11. Bruusgaard J. 14. Flem T. 3. Kristiansen E. 8. Marthinussen S. 7. Midtgard O. 17. Solberg J. 5. Sundo B. 4. Vik I.	1. Grasmo M. (G) 17. Aaserud M. 7. Falck F. 8. Foldnes H. 15. Hildal T. 19. Hjorteseth I. (C) 3. Johansen A. 10. Kilen L. 24. Larsen E. 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D.
Substitutes
18. Arsbog N. 21. Breivik C. 27. Kekeli K. 20. Pajic E. 25. Reiersen J. (G) 19. Rotihaug O. 77. Schmolker V. 29. Sesay G. 15. Steinset K.	22. Bildoy M. 11. Ekren V. S. 18. Jonassen J. 23. Lunde M. 5. Skar O. M. D. 16. Sulen R. H. (G) 6. Wik S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Midtgard O. ⚽,
29', Larsen E. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Midtgard O. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 3 - 0, Bringaker M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Johansen A. ↓, Skar O. M. D. ↑,
46', Larsen E. ↓, Wik S. ↑,
48', Marthinussen S. 🟨,
57', Bringaker M. ↓, Schmolker V. ↑,
61', Hildal T. ↓, Bildoy M. ↑,
70', Kristiansen E. ↓, Breivik C. ↑,
70', Torum D. ↓, Lunde M. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Kilen L. ⚽,
80', Solberg J. ↓, Rotihaug O. ↑,
80', Bruusgaard J. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
90+3', Rotihaug O. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion: )).

In recent outings, Mjøndalen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sotra shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Sotra may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sotra has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Mjøndalen has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Mjondalen	22	14	2	6	43:28	15	44
5	Sotra	22	12	3	7	47:25	22	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
12.09.26	Lysekloster - Mjøndalen	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Mjøndalen - Jerv	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Bjarg - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Bærum - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.08.26	Mjøndalen - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW
- Sotra SK
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Sotra - Sogndal	1:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
12.09.26	Sotra - Sandviken	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sotra - Vidar	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Sotra	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	Sotra - Træff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.04.26	Sotra - Mjøndalen	4:0

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