Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Strandvallen (Hällevik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Mjällby		Lincoln Red Imps

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.50	15.00	Watch
	1.17	8.00	15.50
	1.11	8.50	18.00	Watch
	1.14	8.60	19.00
	1.26	6.31	8.86	Watch
	1.12	7.85	16.00
	1.14	8.00	18.50	Watch
	1.16	7.60	15.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.17)	7.8 ↑ (7.37)	15.73 ↑ (11.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjällby
81.8%

Draw
12.2%

Lincoln Red Imps
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.5%

12.6%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lincoln Red Imps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	13%	8.7%

Mjällby - Lincoln Red Imps Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Lincoln Red Imps will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 61.5% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Mjällby (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 2. Svanberg L. 24. Pettersson T. 10. Kjaer J. 7. Gustafson V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 23. Samuelsen A. 14. Granath V. 18. Bergstrom J. 17. Stroud E.	13. Hankins J. (G) 5. Cardozo T. 6. Lopes B. (C) 3. Rutjens C. 21. Nano 23. Joe 66. Eersteling J. 8. Mandi 18. Garcia T. 9. Gomez K. 44. Toledano M.
Substitutes
3. Agnarsson M. 39. Arrhenius R. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 8. Helge T. 5. Iqbal A. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 19. Manneh A. 25. Nielsen M. 4. Noren A. 27. Tidstrand L. 9. Youssef A.	32. Alvarez F. 7. Casciaro L. 19. Flalhi Idrissi Y. 77. Garcia R. 27. Hamm M. (G) 2. Jolley E. 10. Mula A. 1. Nauzet Santana (G) 4. Pinto N. 22. Torrilla G.
Coaches
Aksum K.	Pavon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Samuelsen A. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Samuelsen A. ⚽, Gustavsson J. (A),
31', 3 - 0, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Granath V. (A),
40', Svanberg L. 🟨,
45', Mandi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Gomez K. ↓, Flalhi Idrissi Y. ↑,
61', Garcia T. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
62', Svanberg L. ↓, Iqbal A. ↑,
62', Kjaer J. ↓, Manneh A. ↑,
67', Samuelsen A. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Gustafson V. ↓, Helge T. ↑,
73', Toledano M. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
78', Bergstrom J. ↓, Youssef A. ↑,
78', Stroud E. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
81', Mandi ↓, Pinto N. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Mjällby is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In this match, Mjällby is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.07.26	Mjällby - Västerås SK	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Mjällby - AIK	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Sirius - Mjällby	4:4 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Copenhagen - Mjällby	5:3 ✺
24.06.26	Mjällby - Halmstad	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLT
- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Inter Escaldes - Lincoln Red Imps	1:1 ✺
07.07.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Inter Escaldes	3:1 ✺
Gibraltar National League
22.02.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Mons Calpe	3:0 ✺
12.02.26	Europa - Lincoln Red Imps	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Lincoln Red Imps - College 1975	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWTW

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