Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 12

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Strandvallen (Hällevik)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mjällby		AIK

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.70	2.82	Watch
	2.25	3.40	2.90
	2.04	3.55	3.15
	2.38	3.68	3.06
	1.98	3.91	3.6	Watch
	2.30	3.60	2.85
	2.18	3.73	3.06	Watch
	2.20	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.01)	3.63 ↓ (3.95)	3.05 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjällby
43.1%

Draw
26%

AIK
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

24.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjällby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Mjällby - AIK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Mjällby (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mjällby (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 4. Noren A. 24. Pettersson T. 14. Granath V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 8. Helge T. 23. Samuelsen A. 10. Kjaer J. 19. Manneh A. 18. Bergstrom J.	15. Nordfeldt K. (C) 17. Thychosen M. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 33. Csongvai A. 2. Edh E. 19. Besirovic D. 7. Mujanic A. 8. Hove J. 48. Kouame A. 45. Ayari T. 29. Filling K.
Substitutes
3. Agnarsson M. 39. Arrhenius R. 5. Iqbal A. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 25. Nielsen M. 2. Svanberg L. 27. Tidstrand L. 9. Youssef A.	18. Ali A. 11. Andersson V. 5. Bergquist L. 37. Faqa A. 22. Helm A. 28. Jareteg L. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 14. Nissen F. 41. Shilla M.
Coaches
Aksum K.	Riveiro J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Helge T. 🟨,
33', Kjaer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', Pettersson T. 🟨,
61', Pettersson T. ↓, Iqbal A. ↑,
61', Helge T. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
67', Filling K. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
69', Kjaer J. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
72', Mujanic A. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
72', Papagiannopoulos S. ↓, Nissen F. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Andersson V. ⚽, Kouame A. (A),
80', Manneh A. ↓, Youssef A. ↑,
81', Miettinen T. ↓, Svanberg L. ↑,
82', Kouame A. ↓, Helm A. ↑,
83', Besirovic D. ↓, Faqa A. ↑,
88', Iqbal A. 🟨,
90', 0 - 2, Helm A. ⚽, Andersson V. (A),
90+2', 1 - 2, Youssef A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mjällby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mjällby has had a series of away games.

Mjällby could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Mjällby: Stroud E. (Injury)

There will not play in AIK: Cisse I. (Ankle Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Redkin A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in AIK: Kouame A. (Injury) Nissen F. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

AIK: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36:40	-4	33
12	Mjallby	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.07.26	Sirius - Mjällby	4:4 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Copenhagen - Mjällby	5:3 ✺
24.06.26	Mjällby - Halmstad	3:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.05.26	IFK Göteborg - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Elfsborg - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTTT
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.07.26	IFK Göteborg - AIK	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.26	AIK - Västerås SK	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	AIK - Kalmar	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.05.26	AIK - Sirius	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Hammarby - AIK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.25	Mjällby - AIK	2:0
11.05.25	AIK - Mjällby	2:1
11.08.24	AIK - Mjällby	1:0
13.04.24	Mjällby - AIK	1:1
Svenska Cupen
09.03.24	Mjällby - AIK	1:3
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.10.23	AIK - Mjällby	1:0
03.05.23	Mjällby - AIK	0:0

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