Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 18

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Berg M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Mjøndalen		Sandnes Ulf

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.9	3.5
	1.9	3.8	3.2
	1.9	4	3.5	Watch
	1.94	4.04	3.53
	1.88	3.96	3.55	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.25
	1.92	3.98	3.41
	1.9	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.94 ↓ (4.09)	3.43 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
49.1%

Draw
23.7%

Sandnes Ulf
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

22.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

19%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Sandnes Ulf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mjøndalen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mjøndalen - Sandnes Ulf Predictions

Users Predictions: Mjøndalen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kinn T. (G) 22. Holst-Larsen F. 3. Welinder M. 23. Skau J. 6. Solberg J. (C) 24. Pedersen M. 8. Sveen O. 25. Heredia-Randen A. 27. Tokstad K. 9. Bringaker M. 11. Olsen M.	30. Mbaye S. (G) 24. Gayi E. 3. Berger E. 4. Bager M. 2. Kleppa H. 18. Oby O. 22. Sakor V. 25. Osenbroch E. 17. Nyhagen A. 10. Hoiland T. (C) 26. Memedov A.
Substitutes
18. Arsbog N. 29. Bro P. S. (G) 20. Conteh A. 16. Dahlby J. 35. Fotland A. 7. Ovenstad M. 5. Overby S. 15. Reutersward L. 21. Vogt P.	20. Aune J. 23. Berland E. 13. Flolid T. (G) 31. Hjorteseth I. 11. Kvernstuen J. 8. Moldskred M. 5. Oregaard H. 6. Salvesen C.
Coaches
Nicol K.	Cleveland A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Berger E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Oby O. ⚽, Kleppa H. (A),
58', Memedov A. ↓, Moldskred M. ↑,
60', Olsen M. ↓, Reutersward L. ↑,
67', Hoiland T. 🟨,
68', Osenbroch E. ↓, Hjorteseth I. ↑,
71', Nyhagen A. 🟨,
72', Holst-Larsen F. 🟨,
72', Welinder M. ↓, Ovenstad M. ↑,
72', Tokstad K. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
72', Holst-Larsen F. ↓, Vogt P. ↑,
79', Oby O. ↓, Kvernstuen J. ↑,
79', Kleppa H. ↓, Aune J. ↑,
85', Bringaker M. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
88', Skau J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 3.

Mjøndalen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sandnes Ulf has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sandnes Ulf could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mjøndalen is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.08.24	Start - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Mjøndalen - Lyn	1:2 ✺
23.06.24	Mjøndalen - Egersund	0:3 ✺
16.06.24	Sandnes Ulf - Mjøndalen	2:3 ✺
12.06.24	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.08.24	Sandnes Ulf - Åsane	0:3 ✺
31.07.24	Stabæk - Sandnes Ulf	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Bryne - Sandnes Ulf	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Vålerenga - Sandnes Ulf	8:0 ✺
16.06.24	Sandnes Ulf - Mjøndalen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.06.24	Sandnes Ulf - Mjøndalen	2:3
27.08.23	Sandnes Ulf - Mjøndalen	1:0
29.05.23	Mjøndalen - Sandnes Ulf	1:3
29.08.22	Mjøndalen - Sandnes Ulf	4:1
23.05.22	Sandnes Ulf - Mjøndalen	0:2
12.08.18	Sandnes Ulf - Mjøndalen	0:2
27.05.18	Mjøndalen - Sandnes Ulf	1:0

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