Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 22Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Trestina |
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Montevarchi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.32 |
2.68 |
3.2 |
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 |
2.74 |
2.19 |
3.52 |
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 |
2.62 |
2.35 |
3.5 |
 Watch |
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2.38 |
2.63 |
3.1 |
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2.34 |
3.12 |
3.12 |
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2.8 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.17) |
2.53 ↓
(2.99) |
3.32 ↑
(3.26) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Trestina
36.2% | Draw
36.2% | Montevarchi
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trestina's form might have worsened.Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Trestina - Montevarchi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 0 - 1, Kondaj E. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 0.Recent form of Trestina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Montevarchi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). Trestina will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Trestina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Montevarchi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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