The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moca 47%
Draw 28.9%
Universidad O&M 24.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.7%
26.9%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
26.4%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Universidad O&M has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moca than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad O&M than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Moca - Universidad O&M Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Canga C. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 0 - 1, Montes De Oca A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 0 - 2, Jaquez J. M. ⚽,
90+4', Lopez B. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Francisco Gomez J. Y. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 5th in the Promotion - LDF (Winners stage: ) and 6th in the Promotion - LDF (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moca won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Recently, Universidad O&M has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Moca is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Moca has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:19 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Moca against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).
Watch
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