Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 13

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday


	Croydon		Modbury Jets

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	2.6
	2.12	3.8	2.68	Watch
	2.11	4.2	2.73
	2.15	4.18	2.78	Watch
	2.1	3.7	2.8
	2.14	4.18	2.74	Watch
	2.12	3.8	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.82)	3.95 ↓ (4)	2.72 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croydon
43%

Draw
23.2%

Modbury Jets
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

22.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croydon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Croydon's form might have worsened.

Modbury Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Modbury Jets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croydon than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Croydon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modbury Jets than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Modbury Jets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Croydon - Modbury Jets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Pasia J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, Pasia J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Croydon won 1.

Croydon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Modbury is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Modbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Croydon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Croydon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croydon FC Australia
Australian NPL South Australian
31.05.25	Playford City Patriots - Croydon	1:3 ✺
23.05.25	West Torrens Birkalla - Croydon	1:3 ✺
17.05.25	Croydon - North Eastern MetroStars	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	FK Beograd - Croydon	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Croydon - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLW
- Modbury Jets
Australian NPL South Australian
31.05.25	Adelaide Comets - Modbury Jets	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Adelaide United U23 - Modbury Jets	1:0 ✺
16.05.25	Modbury Jets - Playford City Patriots	4:2 ✺
09.05.25	West Torrens Birkalla - Modbury Jets	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Modbury Jets - North Eastern MetroStars	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
28.02.25	Modbury Jets - Croydon	2:1
08.06.24	Croydon - Modbury Jets	0:4
08.03.24	Modbury Jets - Croydon	3:2
27.05.23	Croydon - Modbury Jets	3:2
04.03.23	Modbury Jets - Croydon	2:1
29.08.20	Modbury Jets - Croydon	1:3
11.07.20	Croydon - Modbury Jets	2:1

Croydon - Modbury Jets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide