Match Info

Date: 15 February 2021, Monday


	Modena		Matelica

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.55	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.54	3.65	5.4
	1.57	4.02	5.82
	1.57	3.7	5.8
	1.58	3.8	5.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	5.45 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
58.6%

Draw
24.6%

Matelica
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

26.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

16.7%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Matelica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matelica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Modena - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Modena is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Modena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.21	Ravenna - Modena	0:0 ✺
02.02.21	Modena - Triestina	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Vis Pesaro - Modena	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Modena - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
17.01.21	Modena - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLWL
- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.21	Matelica - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Matelica	4:2 ✺
31.01.21	FeralpiSalò - Matelica	2:1 ✺
24.01.21	Matelica - Triestina	3:2 ✺
20.01.21	Matelica - Carpi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
17.10.20	Matelica - Modena	2:1

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