Match Info

Date: 2 February 2021, Tuesday


	Modena		Triestina

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.4
	2.1	3	3.3	Watch
	2	3.25	3.3
	2.11	2.85	3.45
	2.23	3.04	3.75
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.08	3.24	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.01)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	3.43 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
43.6%

Draw
29.6%

Triestina
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

21.3%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Triestina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Modena - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Modena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
30.01.21	Vis Pesaro - Modena	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Modena - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
17.01.21	Modena - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
10.01.21	Legnago Salus - Modena	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Padova - Modena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWW
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
30.01.21	Triestina - Cesena	2:1 ✺
24.01.21	Matelica - Triestina	3:2 ✺
16.01.21	Mantova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Triestina - Fano	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Triestina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.10.20	Triestina - Modena	1:0
08.12.19	Triestina - Modena	0:1

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