Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Mohammedan		Swadhinata

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.6	9
	1.31	4.5	7.75
	1.29	4.4	8
	1.26	4.1	7.24
	1.25	4.33	10
	1.29	5	9.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)	4.49 ↑ (4.3)	8.62 ↑ (8.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mohammedan
69.7%

Draw
19.9%

Swadhinata
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

20.8%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

19.2%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mohammedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Swadhinata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mohammedan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swadhinata than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mohammedan - Swadhinata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mohammedan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swadhinata is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Mohammedan is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mohammedan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mohammedan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mohammedan Dhaka
Bangladesh BFL
25.04.22	Sheikh Russel KC - Mohammedan	1:1 ✺
08.04.22	Rahmatganj - Mohammedan	1:5 ✺
04.04.22	Mohammedan - Bangladesh Police	0:0 ✺
18.03.22	Mohammedan - Muktijoddha Sangsad	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Bashundhara Kings - Mohammedan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWL
- Swadhinata KS
Bangladesh BFL
24.04.22	Swadhinata - Bashundhara Kings	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Sheikh Russel KC - Swadhinata	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Swadhinata - Sheikh Jamal	1:3 ✺
18.03.22	Rahmatganj - Swadhinata	1:1 ✺
11.03.22	Swadhinata - Abahani Limited	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
10.02.22	Swadhinata - Mohammedan	0:1
Bangladesh Federation Cup
27.12.21	Mohammedan - Swadhinata	1:1

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