Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: Korean Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday


	Mokpo City		Bucheon

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.82
	3.75	3.6	1.87
	3.65	3.83	1.88
	3.65	3.83	1.88
	3.9	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4	3.57	1.82	Watch
	3.85	3.55	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.85)	3.59 ↓ (3.84)	1.84 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mokpo City
24.4%

Draw
25.6%

Bucheon
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

23.8%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mokpo City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mokpo City's performance.

Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bucheon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mokpo City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bucheon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Mokpo City - Bucheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mokpo City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bucheon will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Mokpo City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bucheon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mokpo City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bucheon have a series of home games.

In this match Bucheon is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
13.04.24	Mokpo City - Chuncheon	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Siheung - Mokpo City	5:0 ✺
30.03.24	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.24	Changwon City - Mokpo City	0:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
17.03.24	Daegu 2 - Mokpo City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWWL
- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 2
13.04.24	Bucheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	Anyang - Bucheon	3:0 ✺
31.03.24	Bucheon - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
24.03.24	Bucheon - Busan Kyotong	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
16.03.24	Bucheon - Seoul E-Land	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWW

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