Match Info

K League 2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)


	Bucheon		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.42	3.15	2.78
	2.49	3.15	2.97
	2.96	3.18	2.39	Watch
	2.5	3.08	2.88	Watch
	2.33	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.96)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	2.76 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucheon
36.9%

Draw
29.5%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

29.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bucheon's performance.

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Bucheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucheon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Hyung-Keun (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 29. Baek Dong-Gyu 20. Hong Sung-Wook 27. Jang Si-Young 23. Takahashi K. 14. Choi Jae-Young 17. Kim Kyu-Min 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 9. Montano J. 11. Park Chang-Jun	21. Yang Han-Been (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 33. Park Su-bin (C) 74. Samuel Andrade 14. Elionay 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 70. Leandro Ribeiro 16. Ryu Jun-sun
Substitutes
4. Choe Won-Cheol 41. Galego 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 5. Lee S. 16. Park Hyun-Bin 7. Thiaguinho Santos	37. Ha Jung-woo 18. Kim Beom-Su 66. Kim Joo-Won 68. Lee Jae-Wook 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 2. Park Sang-Hyeok
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Jeon Kyeong-Jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Hong Sung-Wook 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Lee Jeong-Bin ↑,
59', Kim Jeong-Hwan ↓, Kim Beom-Su ↑,
59', Samuel Andrade ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
61', Kim Kyu-Min ↓, Thiaguinho Santos ↑,
62', Montano J. ↓, Lee Eui-Hyeong ↑,
62', Park Chang-Jun ↓, Galego ↑,
69', Choi Jae-Young ↓, Park Hyun-Bin ↑,
70', Elionay 🟨,
78', You Ju-An ↓, Lee Jae-Wook ↑,
78', Leandro Ribeiro ↓, Ha Jung-woo ↑,
90+2', Rodrigo Bassani ↓, Lee S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 3.

Bucheon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Seongnam is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bucheon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucheon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 2
23.11.25	Bucheon - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bucheon - Ansan Greeners	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Cheongju - Bucheon	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Bucheon - Cheonan City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWTW
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
27.11.25	Seoul E-Land - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
08.10.25	Bucheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0
02.08.25	Bucheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:3
19.04.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Bucheon	0:0
25.09.24	Bucheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:0
27.07.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Bucheon	0:1
13.04.24	Bucheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
21.08.23	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Bucheon	2:2

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