The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Molde 62.1%
Draw 21.8%
Djurgården 16.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.3%
25.1%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
24.4%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molde's performance.
Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Djurgården might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molde that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Djurgården could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.6%
4.8%
20.6%
Molde - Djurgården Predictions
Users Predictions:
63 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 47 - 74.6%). Djurgården will win (votes: 13 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 63.9% – 85.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Molde has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (40%), has a chance of 3rd (34%), has a good chance of knockout phase (66%), has a chance of round of 16 (47%), has a chance of qtrs (23%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Djurgården has currently - 10, has a good chance of 1st (73%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (81%), has a chance of qtrs (21%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality49, importance33, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Molde in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Djurgården is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Molde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Djurgården have a series of home games.
In this match Molde is a favorite.
There will not play in Molde: Ellingsen M.
(Knee Injury)
Haraldseid K.
(Knee Injury)
Sinyan S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Djurgården: Ekdal H.
(Injury)
Kack E.
(Injury)
Vasyutin A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Molde: Ulland-Andersen E.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Molde to win the game is with odds 1.7.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Molde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.