Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Tele2 Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Djurgården		Gent

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.2
	3.25	3.2	2.2
	3.4	3.35	2.2
	3.2	3.25	2.21
	3.52	3.3	2.24
	3.32	3.28	2.16
	3.3	3.35	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.04)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djurgården
28.5%

Draw
28.6%

Gent
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

28.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63%	11.1%	25.9%

Djurgården - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Djurgården will win (votes: 17 - 63%). Gent will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 44.8% – 81.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Djurgården has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (49%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a chance of 3rd (19%), has a good chance of knockout phase (81%), has a good chance of round of 16 (58%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Gent has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (22%), has a chance of 2nd (34%), has a chance of 3rd (42%), has a good chance of knockout phase (56%), has a chance of round of 16 (39%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 46, big importance 87, match rating 67. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gent will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Djurgården: Finndell H. (Injury) Kack E. (Injury) Schuller R. (Injury)

There will not play in Gent: Castro-Montes A. (Injury) Tissoudali T. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Djurgården won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.10.22	Djurgården - Häcken	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Gent - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.10.22	Degerfors - Djurgården	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Djurgården - IFK Göteborg	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Djurgården - Molde	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLWW
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.10.22	Eupen - Gent	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Gent - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.10.22	Gent - Cercle Brugge	3:4 ✺
18.09.22	Genk - Gent	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Gent - Shamrock Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Gent - Djurgården	0:1

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