Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 11

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Molde		Sandefjord

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	5	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.75
	1.62	4.2	4.85	Watch
	1.66	4.4	5.13
	1.63	4.47	5.14	Watch
	1.62	4	4.6
	1.63	4.35	4.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.76)	4.26 ↑ (4.22)	4.91 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
58.4%

Draw
22.3%

Sandefjord
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

22.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

22.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	3.3%	6.7%

Molde - Sandefjord Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Molde (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Molde will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Posiadala A. (G) 18. Stenevik H. 4. Hansen S. 33. Risa B. 25. Linnes M. 15. Hoff V. 17. Daehli M. 5. Hestad E. 10. Breivik E. (C) 23. Granaas S. 8. Gulbrandsen F.	30. Hadaya E. (G) 4. Pedersen F. 2. Smajlovic Z. 44. Lambrix X. 3. Egeli V. 20. Melchior M. 6. Mork S. (C) 37. Vester J. 7. Patoulidis E. 11. Moller N. 10. Alte R.
Substitutes
6. Amundsen I. 14. Christensen J. 44. Gosik I. 19. Haugan E. 31. Isufi B. 24. Kone-Doherty T. 12. Lervik P. (G) 21. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 11. Zady C.	17. Apetorgbor F. 19. Berntsen B. 8. Dzabic R. 1. Gronneberg A. (G) 5. Hojbjerg G. 47. Kristiansen S. 24. Mathisen S. 21. Swift J.
Coaches
Tjelmeland S.	Tegstrom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gulbrandsen F. ⚽, Breivik E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Linnes M. ↓, Amundsen I. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Hestad E. ⚽,
65', Melchior M. ↓, Berntsen B. ↑,
65', Patoulidis E. ↓, Apetorgbor F. ↑,
65', Moller N. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
66', Vester J. 🟨,
70', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Gosik I. ↑,
70', Granaas S. ↓, Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↑,
71', Hestad E. ↓, Zady C. ↑,
78', Vester J. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
85', Breivik E. ↓, Haugan E. ↑,
87', Egeli V. ↓, Hojbjerg G. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Mathisen S. ⚽, Apetorgbor F. (A),
90+3', Apetorgbor F. 🟨,
90+4', Amundsen I. 🟨,
90+6', Hadaya E. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Molde is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Molde: Abdullai J. (Injury) Daga D. (Injury) Dahl F. (Knee Injury) Kabini S. (International duty) Kikkenborg M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Sandefjord: Dunsby J. (Thigh Injury) Krogelien H. (Injury) Loftesnes-Bjune F. (Thigh Injury) Swift J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Molde: Oyvann C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molde won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 49:30. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Molde won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:11. (average 2.6:1).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Molde: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molde	22	11	4	7	46:34	12	37
12	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22:28	-6	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.05.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Molde	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Molde - Kristiansund	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Tromsø - Molde	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Bodø Glimt - Molde	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Molde - Vålerenga	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWLWW
- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.05.26	Sandefjord - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Lillestrøm SK - Sandefjord	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Sandefjord - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sandefjord - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Tromsø - Sandefjord	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
19.10.25	Molde - Sandefjord	1:3
06.04.25	Sandefjord - Molde	3:0
19.10.24	Molde - Sandefjord	0:1
05.05.24	Sandefjord - Molde	3:1
12.08.23	Sandefjord - Molde	2:2
29.05.23	Molde - Sandefjord	5:0
Club Friendly
24.02.23	Molde - Sandefjord	2:1

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