Sandefjord - Fredrikstad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Eliteserien - Round 10
  • Date: 25 May 2026, Monday
  • Location: Jotun Arena (Sandefjord)
  • Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play
    Sandefjord Fredrikstad
    Sandefjord Fredrikstad
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.86)
    3.62
    (3.57)
    3.24
    (4.14)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Sandefjord
    44.4%
    Draw
    26.3%
    Fredrikstad
    29.3%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    50.8% 26.4% 22.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    52.1% 25.7% 22.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandefjord's form might have worsened.
  • Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fredrikstad's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandefjord, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fredrikstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    100% 0% 0%
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    Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (1.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Sandefjord will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ€“ 100%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    30. SyriaHadaya E. (G)
      4. NorwayPedersen F.
    44. BelgiumLambrix X.
    47. NorwayKristiansen S.
      3. NorwayEgeli V.
      7. BelgiumPatoulidis E.
      6. NorwayMork S. (C)
    37. DenmarkVester J.
    20. NorwayMelchior M.
    11. SwedenMoller N.
    10. NorwayAlte R.
    77. NorwayBorsheim M. (G)
    16. NorwayEid D.
      4. NorwayHolme F.
    12. NorwayFredriksen U.
      5. NorwayRafn S. (C)
    13. NorwaySorlokk S.
      6. SwedenLeach S.
    21. EstoniaShein R. R.
      9. NorwayLaghzaoui S.
    20. DenmarkOhlenschlaeger O.
    23. NorwaySkogvold H.
    Substitutes
    17. GhanaApetorgbor F.
    19. NorwayBerntsen B.
      8. SwedenDzabic R.
      1. NorwayGronneberg A. (G)
      5. DenmarkHojbjerg G.
    24. NorwayMathisen S.
    21. NorwaySwift J.
      3. NorwayAndresen A.
      7. NorwayFaraas B.
    19. NorwayGhebreyohannes F.
    15. NorwayGranaas E.
    14. SwedenNilsson M.
    18. NorwayNorbye J.
    26. NorwayNysveen J.
      2. SwedenOkpaleke K.
      1. NorwayOvretveit O. (G)
    Coaches
         SwedenTegstrom A.
         DenmarkRojkjaer C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 63', 1 - 0, Moller N. , Alte R. (A),
    • 70', Laghzaoui S. , Faraas B. ,
    • 78', Sorlokk S. , Ghebreyohannes F. ,
    • 78', Leach S. , Nilsson M. ,
    • 78', Patoulidis E. , Berntsen B. ,
    • 78', Moller N. , Mathisen S. ,
    • 82', Mork S. 🟨,
    • 82', Ghebreyohannes F. 🟨,
    • 84', Holme F. 🟨,
    • 86', Pedersen F. 🟨,
    • 88', Rafn S. , Granaas E. ,
    • 90+1', 1 - 1, Faraas B. , Holme F. (A),
    • 90+4', Mork S. , Dzabic R. ,
    • 90+7', Granaas E. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 11).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 1.
  • Sandefjord has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Fredrikstad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 1).
  • In this match, Sandefjord is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Sandefjord: Dunsby J. (Thigh Injury) Krogelien H. (Injury) Loftesnes-Bjune F. (Thigh Injury) Smajlovic Z. (Red Card) Swift J. (Injury)
  • There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S. (Knee Injury) Nunez J. (Leg Injury) Owusu S. (Muscle Injury)
  • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 0.9:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Sandefjord won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
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    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Fredrikstad1982923:30-726
    12Sandefjord1955916:24-820

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Sandefjord Fotball
    Norwegian Eliteserien
    16.05.26 Lillestrรธm SK - Sandefjord 3:1
    10.05.26 Sandefjord - Kristiansund 2:0
    03.05.26 Sandefjord - Aalesunds 1:0
    26.04.26 Tromsรธ - Sandefjord 3:1
    18.04.26 Sandefjord - Rosenborg 0:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5
    LWWLT
    - Fredrikstad FK
    Norwegian Eliteserien
    16.05.26 Fredrikstad - Hamarkameratene 2:1
    09.05.26 Sarpsborg 08 - Fredrikstad 2:1
    02.05.26 Brann - Fredrikstad 3:1
    25.04.26 Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger 1:2
    19.04.26 Kristiansund - Fredrikstad 2:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2
    WLLLL
    Latest Head to Head
    Norwegian Eliteserien
    26.10.25 Sandefjord - Fredrikstad 0:0
    21.04.25 Fredrikstad - Sandefjord 3:1
    Club Friendly
    15.02.25 Sandefjord - Fredrikstad 2:2
    Norwegian Eliteserien
    01.12.24 Sandefjord - Fredrikstad 0:1
    Club Friendly
    21.06.24 Sandefjord - Fredrikstad 4:2
    Norwegian Eliteserien
    28.04.24 Fredrikstad - Sandefjord 1:0
    Club Friendly
    08.03.24 Fredrikstad - Sandefjord 2:0