Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 16

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Molde		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.5	5	Watch
	1.65	4.10	4.50
	1.62	4.2	4.85
	1.64	4.6	5.37
	1.63	4.21	4.93	Watch
	1.61	4.3	5.3
	1.56	4.48	5.29	Watch
	1.59	4.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)	4.34 ↑ (4.16)	4.99 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Molde
59%

Draw
21.9%

Sarpsborg 08
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

22.6%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Molde - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Users Predictions: Molde will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Posiadala A. (G) 25. Linnes M. 4. Hansen S. 33. Risa B. 26. Kabini S. 10. Breivik E. (C) 30. Daga D. 5. Hestad E. 23. Granaas S. 11. Zady C. 24. Kone-Doherty T.	87. Oy L. (G) 12. Niyukuri C. 4. Utvik B. 2. Lode M. 21. Hiim A. 8. Christiansen S. (C) 6. Sher A. 10. Sorli S. 33. Nibe A. 17. Williams N. 11. Karlsbakk D.
Substitutes
9. Abdullai J. 28. Bender V. 29. Diop S. 20. Enggaard M. 12. Lervik P. (G) 8. Lovik M. 6. Odegard N. 21. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 52. Sylte D.	7. Camil Mmaee 50. Eidal M. M. 13. Eriksson C. (G) 18. Gueye B. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 15. Opoku M. 77. Skarsem O. 81. Svenningsen Gronn M. 32. Wichne E.
Coaches
Tjelmeland S.	Sel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Granaas S. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Karlsbakk D. ⚽, Niyukuri C. (A),
40', Hestad E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Nibe A. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Hestad E. ⚽, Breivik E. (A),
60', 3 - 2, Daga D. ⚽, Breivik E. (A),
63', Williams N. ↓, Halvorsen V. E. ↑,
63', Nibe A. ↓, Skarsem O. ↑,
64', Kone-Doherty T. ↓, Abdullai J. ↑,
64', Zady C. ↓, Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↑,
72', Niyukuri C. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
74', Linnes M. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
74', Daga D. ↓, Enggaard M. ↑,
74', Christiansen S. 🟨,
81', Sorli S. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
81', Sher A. ↓, Camil Mmaee ↑,
87', Hestad E. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Posiadala A. (Own goal),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 0.

Molde is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Molde is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Molde: Daehli M. (Injury) Dahl F. (Knee Injury) Hoff V. (Knee Injury) Kikkenborg M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stenevik H. (Injury)

There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Injury) Reinhardsen P. (Ankle Injury) Rosted S. (Ankle Injury) Utvik B. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molde won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 47:30. (average 2.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Molde won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:17. (average 3.2:1.5).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Molde: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molde	22	11	4	7	46:34	12	37
9	Sarpsborg 08	22	7	7	8	28:31	-3	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.07.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Molde	2:4 ✺
18.07.26	Molde - Brann	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Aalesunds - Molde	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.26	Rosenborg - Molde	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Molde - Bodø Glimt	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTLL
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.07.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Hamarkameratene	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Kristiansund - Sarpsborg 08	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.05.26	Brann - Sarpsborg 08	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
25.05.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Molde	2:1
30.11.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Molde	1:0
30.03.25	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	0:2
10.11.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Molde	2:2
20.05.24	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	2:4
Norwegian NM Cup
08.05.24	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	4:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.11.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Molde	1:3

Upcoming Matches