The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brann 55.5%
Draw 22%
Sarpsborg 08 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.1%
21%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
16.3%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brann that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
0%
22.2%
Brann - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions
Users Predictions:
Brann will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Nilsen S. (G) 43. Holten R. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 20. Dragsnes V. 17. Soltvedt J. 10. Ingason K. M. 25. Wassberg N. 8. Myhre F. 14. Mathisen U. 16. Eriksen K. 7. Thorsteinsson J.
1. Ndiaye M. (G) 12. Niyukuri C. 4. Utvik B. 2. Koch M. 21. Hiim A. 10. Sorli S. (C) 22. Halvorsen V. E. 8. Christiansen S. 17. Williams N. 11. Karlsbakk D. 33. Nibe A.
Substitutes
40. Eikrem J. 11. Finne B. 32. Haaland M. 2. Hellan M. 29. Holm N. 26. Matondo R. 6. Mbacke D. 15. Torsvik J.
7. Camil Mmaee 26. Chriso 50. Eidal M. M. 18. Gueye B. 5. Odegaard M. 87. Oy L. (G) 3. Skuseth N. 81. Svenningsen Gronn M. 32. Wichne E.
Coaches
Alexandersson F.
Sel E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
29', 1 - 0, Holten R. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Halvorsen V. E. ⚽, Sorli S. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Sorli S. ⚽, Niyukuri C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
57', Soltvedt J. 🟨,
58', Christiansen S. 🟨,
59', Eriksen K. ↓, Holm N. ↑,
60', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
60', Mathisen U. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
63', Knudsen F. 🟨,
72', Soltvedt J. ↓, Torsvik J. ↑,
76', Niyukuri C. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
80', Sorli S. ↓, Svenningsen Gronn M. ↑,
85', Holten R. ↓, Hellan M. ↑,
88', Williams N. ↓, Skuseth N. ↑,
88', Karlsbakk D. ↓, Gueye B. ↑,
90+3', Odegaard M. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Brann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Brann is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Brann: Boakye N.
(Knee Injury)
Castro N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
De Roeve D.
(Injury)
Dyngeland M.
(Muscle Injury)
Gudmundsson E.
(Knee Injury)
Magnusson S.
(Knee Injury)
Opsahl S.
(Foot Injury)
Pedersen T.
(Elbow Injury)
Sorensen J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Sarpsborg: Berget J.
(Injury)
Camil Mmaee
(Groin Injury)
Carstensen F.
(Injury)
Opoku M.
(Ankle Injury)
Rosted S.
(Ankle Injury)
Sher A.
(International duty)
There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Reinhardsen P.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brann won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Brann won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).