Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 13

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aalesunds		Molde

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.60	2.10	Watch
	3.10	3.60	2.10
	3.10	3.65	2.08
	3.28	4.00	2.16
	3.21	3.92	2.12	Watch
	3.15	3.85	2.09
	3.20	3.81	2.12	Watch
	3.05	3.65	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	2.11 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
29.9%

Draw
25.2%

Molde
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

24.8%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.8%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Molde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	10.5%	78.9%

Aalesunds - Molde Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molde (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Molde will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Larsen T. (G) 14. Charles U. 8. Melland H. 5. Kjelsen A. (C) 3. Gudmundsson O. 4. Haram S. 21. Christensen M. 18. Hagen E. 15. Osenbroch E. 7. Nesso K. 39. Lonebu K.	22. Posiadala A. (G) 18. Stenevik H. 6. Amundsen I. 33. Risa B. 25. Linnes M. 10. Breivik E. (C) 17. Daehli M. 5. Hestad E. 21. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 23. Granaas S. 24. Kone-Doherty T.
Substitutes
2. Andresen M. 45. Aukland P. 22. Engqvist E. 6. Hammer H. 38. Leikanger T. 17. Myrlid E. 16. Orsahl J. 41. Storas P. E. (G) 25. Syversen U.	9. Abdullai J. 30. Daga D. 4. Hansen S. 19. Haugan E. 15. Hoff V. 31. Isufi B. 26. Kabini S. 12. Lervik P. (G) 11. Zady C.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Tjelmeland S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 1 - 0, Osenbroch E. ⚽, Hagen E. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Spiten-Nysaeter O. ⚽, Hestad E. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Hestad E. ⚽,
45', Daehli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Linnes M. ↓, Kabini S. ↑,
58', Haram S. ↓, Syversen U. ↑,
60', Risa B. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
63', Spiten-Nysaeter O. 🟨,
68', Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↓, Zady C. ↑,
68', Kone-Doherty T. ↓, Abdullai J. ↑,
75', Amundsen I. ↓, Haugan E. ↑,
80', Abdullai J. 🟨,
80', Melland H. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
86', Hagen E. ↓, Hammer H. ↑,
86', Nesso K. ↓, Andresen M. ↑,
88', Charles U. ↓, Orsahl J. ↑,
90+1', Kjelsen A. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Christensen M. ⚽, Syversen U. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 1.

Aalesunds is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Molde has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Molde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Molde will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Aalesunds: Ngongo P. (Surgery)

There will not play in Molde: Dahl F. (Knee Injury) Kikkenborg M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Aalesunds: Aukland P. (Knock) Johannsson D. (Injury) Seehusen J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Molde: Hansen S. (Ankle Injury) Oyvann C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 21:47. (average 1.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.6:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44:32	12	36
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33:46	-13	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.05.26	Aalesunds - Hamarkameratene	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	Tromsø - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
20.05.26	Aalesunds - Brann	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WTTWW
- Molde FK
Club Friendly
05.07.26	Rosenborg - Molde	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Molde - Bodø Glimt	1:4 ✺
21.06.26	Molde - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	5:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.05.26	Molde - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Molde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
16.05.23	Aalesunds - Molde	3:1
03.05.23	Molde - Aalesunds	3:0
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Aalesunds - Molde	0:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.09.22	Molde - Aalesunds	3:0
16.05.22	Aalesunds - Molde	0:2
06.12.20	Molde - Aalesunds	2:1
16.06.20	Aalesunds - Molde	1:4

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