Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Molfetta		Nardo

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.77
	3.75	3.5	1.78
	3.76	3.49	1.79
	3.9	3.6	1.73
	4.05	3.4	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.28)	3.48 ↑ (3.22)	1.77 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molfetta
23.3%

Draw
25.9%

Nardo
50.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

27.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.9%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molfetta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nardo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molfetta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Molfetta - Nardo Predictions

Users Predictions: Nardo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs)).

Molfetta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nardo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Molfetta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Molfetta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molfetta Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
22.01.23	Puteolana - Molfetta	4:1 ✺
15.01.23	Molfetta - Barletta	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Matera - Molfetta	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Afragolese - Molfetta	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Molfetta - Altamura	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLTL
- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
22.01.23	Città di Fasano - Nardo	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Nardo - Matera	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Puteolana - Nardo	1:2 ✺
21.12.22	Altamura - Nardo	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Nardo - Barletta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
28.09.22	Nardo - Molfetta	0:0
22.05.22	Nardo - Molfetta	5:4
23.01.22	Molfetta - Nardo	5:0
23.05.21	Nardo - Molfetta	4:2
31.01.21	Molfetta - Nardo	1:1

Molfetta - Nardo