Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Mollerussa		Tona

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.35	3.15	2.68
	2.4	3.17	2.82
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.39	3.13	2.67
	2.33	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.51)	3.13 ↑ (2.94)	2.77 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mollerussa
38.5%

Draw
28.9%

Tona
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

30.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mollerussa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mollerussa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Mollerussa - Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Vilarrasa J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Tona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mollerussa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mollerussa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CFJ Mollerussa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Lleida - Mollerussa	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Mollerussa - Vilanova	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	LEscala - Mollerussa	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Mollerussa - Vilassar de Mar	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mollerussa - Can Vidalet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLW
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Tona - San Cristóbal	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Cornellà - Tona	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Tona - Badalona	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Montañesa - Tona	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Tona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
16.02.25	Tona - Mollerussa	0:3
14.04.24	Tona - Mollerussa	0:0
26.11.23	Mollerussa - Tona	0:2

Mollerussa - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide