Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 13

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Molodechno Haradzki Stadion (Molodechno)


	Molodechno		Lida

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.40	2.05
	3.17	3.38	2.04	Watch
	3.10	3.80	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.5)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	1.99 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molodechno
29.7%

Draw
25.3%

Lida
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

25%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

24.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molodechno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molodechno's form might have worsened.

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molodechno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lida than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tretyak D. (G) 15. Alshanik A. 22. Atrashkevich S. 19. Bakinovskiy A. 17. Belashevich V. 29. Dubovik T. 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 14. Koval I. 9. Shmarov E. 21. Sokolovskiy M. 8. Velisevich D.	25. Gremza E. (G) 18. Dyatlov Z. 4. Ivanovsky V. 13. Karpovich E. 6. Katsynel M. 9. Kontsevoy I. 11. Kutsepalov D. 3. Legchilin A. . Mazurych A. 17. Puzach A. 5. Tymonyuk I.
Substitutes
24. Diva O. (G) 55. Imeryakov E. 88. Kuryanchik A. 71. Perov D. (G) 25. Pilipenko M. 7. Sakhonchik A. 18. Tsybulsky A. 77. Yushkevich A.	10. Chernodarov A. 19. Chernyak K. 7. Gradoboev D. 22. Gribovskiy R. 14. Khodyko D. 2. Poznyak A. 15. Salygo A. 1. Vasilyev A. (G) 24. Zaytsev E. 21. Zhurnevich S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Mazurych A. ⚽, Legchilin A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Chernodarov A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6).

Molodechno is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lida is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molodechno won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Molodechno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lida	27	17	3	7	51:43	8	54
6	Molodechno	26	14	3	9	45:40	5	45

Last Results with these Odds

Lida - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
21.06.26	Niva Dolbizno - Molodechno	6:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
17.06.26	Molodechno - BATE Borisov	1:4 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
13.06.26	Molodechno - SKA-1938	1:4 ✺
07.06.26	Slutsk - Molodechno	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Molodechno - Dinamo Minsk 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT
- FC Lida
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.06.26	Lida - Gomel 2	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Orsha - Lida	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Lida - Volna Pinsk	2:4 ✺
31.05.26	Smorgon - Lida	4:4 ✺
Belarusian Cup
27.05.26	Shchuchyn - Lida	3:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
03.05.24	Lida - Molodechno	0:1
19.11.23	Molodechno - Lida	2:3
15.07.23	Lida - Molodechno	0:3
08.10.22	Molodechno - Lida	2:0
05.06.22	Lida - Molodechno	1:1

Molodechno - Lida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide