Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 11

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Central City Stadium (Orsha)


	Orsha		Lida

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.62)	3.5 ↓ (3.8)	1.9 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsha
26%

Draw
26%

Lida
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

23.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

22.8%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orsha's form might have worsened.

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orsha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lida than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volodkov A. (G) 8. Berezun I. 93. Bordukov P. 17. Kulesh Y. 3. Pashkevich M. 82. Shalychev V. 11. Stain D. 5. Tarbyakov N. 19. Vekhtev N. 18. Volchenko N. 77. Zheleznikov G. (C)	25. Gremza E. (G) 8. Galushko A. 7. Gradoboev D. (C) 22. Gribovskiy R. 4. Ivanovsky V. 13. Karpovich E. 6. Katsynel M. 11. Kutsepalov D. 3. Legchilin A. 17. Puzach A. 5. Tymonyuk I.
Substitutes
7. Bobchenok N. 69. Bulakhov S. 14. Dambrovsky A. 80. Komarov Y. 52. Kravchenko R. (G) 13. Mitrofanov V. 88. Rudenok D. 9. Tikhomirov D.	19. Chernyak K. 18. Dyatlov Z. 14. Khodyko D. 2. Poznyak A. 1. Vasilyev A. (G) 24. Zaytsev E. 21. Zhurnevich S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Karpovich E. 🟨,
19', Vekhtev N. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Gribovskiy R. ⚽, Puzach A. (A),
41', Gribovskiy R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Pashkevich M. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Tymonyuk I. ⚽, Kutsepalov D. (A),
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 1.

Recent performances by Orsha have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lida is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Orsha has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Orsha won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lida	27	17	3	7	51:43	8	54
14	Orsha	27	7	6	14	28:51	-23	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orsha
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
07.06.26	Niva Dolbizno - Orsha	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Orsha - SKA-1938	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Slutsk - Orsha	3:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
20.05.26	Drut Belynichi - Orsha	0:7
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
08.05.26	Ostrovets - Orsha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 TLLWW
- FC Lida
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.06.26	Lida - Volna Pinsk	2:4 ✺
31.05.26	Smorgon - Lida	4:4 ✺
Belarusian Cup
27.05.26	Shchuchyn - Lida	3:4
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	Lida - BumProm Gomel	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Minsk 2 - Lida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.08.25	Lida - Orsha	2:0
19.04.25	Orsha - Lida	1:3
19.10.24	Orsha - Lida	2:4
23.06.24	Lida - Orsha	0:1
30.08.23	Orsha - Lida	0:3
09.04.23	Lida - Orsha	0:0
04.09.22	Orsha - Lida	2:2

Orsha - Lida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide